Saturday, July 9, 2011

Exchange rates/Taux de change

Since 2007, the USD has gain 83% against the Congolese Franc (CDF). However, we notice a certain stability on the Congolese FOREX market with an appreciation of only 0.9% of the USD against the CDF. 

According to a poll organized by the Central Bank of Congo among business leaders, the business confidence in the economy (Measured by the difference between the proportion of those with a positive opinion and those with a negative one) has grown from to +23,6%  in May from+ 4.6% in April. This is a substantial increase month-on-month and seems to demonstrate a higher confidence in the authorities’ abilities to maintain a certain macroeconomic stability.  

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Last Friday, for the first time after five months, the pair USD/CDF stayed at 914,3790 against 923,1853 a week ago. We notice a slight decrease of 0.95%. Strangely, Wall Street went up to 930-935 since last Thursday while Bank market stays at 915-935.

As a market regulator, the Central Bank (CB) is officially the only institution allowed to publish the DRC’s rates (FCY against CDF). Rates published reflect the market (bank market and wall street). Mathematically, the market average.

Considering the last trend of the market, nothing can explain this decrease. But we noticed that last Thursday commercial banks sold USD to Central Bank in order to face tax payment of clients due to month half. Thus, the LCY shortage has been confirmed.

Millezim, Ali Nasser

Discussion sur le secteur bancaire avec Bob Nzoimbengene, Partner chez Deloitte.

Une fois n’est pas coutume, l’analyse du secteur bancaire sera faite cette fois-ci par un ancien banquier. J’ai le plaisir d’accueillir mon ...