Monday, May 12, 2014

The permanent electricity shortage and its impact on the economy…



I have been traveling several times to the Katanga province lately- for the reader not familiar with the DRC geography, the Katanga is the ‘mining area’ of the country and is considered to be the economical lungs of the DRC. 

All the major mining groups have been, at some point in time, involved in this part of the country (BHP Billiton, Vale, Freeport, Anglo American etc). Unfortunately some of them have left for different reasons. However, the sector is still booming thanks to the Chinese demand that remain quite strong.
One thing that will not go unnoticed when you spend few hours in Lubumbashi (the capital of the province) is the constant electricity cuts. 

The main issue with this situation is that mining companies are not spared and today most of those companies are working far below their full capacity. I have even visited a plant operating using generators! Imagine the diesel bill at the end of the month (also imagine how cheap must be the cost of production for that plant to remain profitable using a generator). 

(Some sectors such as oil distribution are taking advantage of this situation but the impact of those firms on the economy remain marginal especially that a big part of them are not even paying taxes…)
The level of production has become so insufficient that today we have to import electricity from both Zambia and Zimbabwe. Countries where we used to export until recently…

Below is a snapshot of the electricity situation as it stands according to official data.

Supply in MW
Demand in MW




Local production
600
Mining
1140
Import Zambia
150
Others
240
Import Zimbabwe
50


Deficit
580



Several projects to develop the electricity sector have been in the pipes for decades but we are still for at least one of them to materialize. By 2020, the demand for the Katanga province is forecasted to reach 4 000MW.



Fewer projects mean fewer investments, jobs and wealth created. Let’s hope that while we are waiting for new power projects to come to life, China’s appetite for commodities will remain as strong as now…

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